Exit Polls Indicate BJP-Shiv Sena Alliance Triumphs in Mumbai Civic Elections

NewsDais

January 16, 2026

Results of Brihanmumbai Municipal Corporation Elections

In a decisive showing, exit polls suggest that the BJP-Shiv Sena alliance is on track for a significant victory in the Brihanmumbai Municipal Corporation (BMC) elections held on January 15, 2026. Analysts indicate that this coalition is expected to secure a commanding number of seats, besting opponents like the Shiv Sena (UBT) and Maharashtra Navnirman Sena (MNS), who faced the polls independently.

According to the projections from various exit polls, the alliance is predicted to win between 127 and 155 seats in Mumbai. Conversely, the Shiv Sena (UBT) and MNS alliance is forecasted to earn between 44 to 64 seats, while the Congress-led coalition may gain approximately 16 to 25 seats. This election has attracted considerable attention due to its implications for local governance and the potential shifts in political power in Maharashtra.

Context of the Elections

This election cycle comes amid rising political tensions and allegations of malpractice in the run-up to the polls. Uddhav Thackeray, leader of the Shiv Sena (UBT), has publicly criticized the conduct of the elections and raised concerns regarding potential irregularities. He referred to the situation as a “murder of democracy,” underlining the seriousness of the claims being made by opposition leaders.

The BMC elections are particularly crucial as they not only determine local governance but also reflect broader political trends ahead of upcoming state and national elections. Given Mumbai’s economic and cultural significance, the results will have far-reaching implications for parties involved.

Detailed Seat Projections

Predictions for Mumbai

The Saam TV exit polls suggest that the BJP is expected to clinch around 84 seats, while its coalition partner, the Shiv Sena, is projected to secure about 35 seats in Mumbai. In stark contrast, the Shiv Sena (UBT) and MNS are anticipated to win only 65 and 10 seats respectively. The NCP (SP)—part of the Sena (UBT)-MNS alliance—is estimated to gain two seats.

Moreover, in the neighboring city of Pune, the BJP is predicted to emerge as the largest party, capturing approximately 70 seats. The NCP is expected to secure 55 seats, while Shiv Sena’s independent campaign might net around 12 seats.

Pune’s Political Landscape

In Pune, the exit polls indicate a competitive environment. The NCP, in conjunction with Ajit Pawar’s faction, is anticipated to win about 10 seats. Additionally, the Congress party may secure up to eight wards. This varied performance across Pune mirrors the wider political challenges various parties are currently facing.

Results in Thane

Thane, a city pivotal to Deputy Chief Minister Eknath Shinde’s political base, is projected to lean heavily in favor of the Shiv Sena. The alliance is expected to win between 72 seats for the Shiv Sena and approximately 26 for the BJP. Competitors, including the Sena (UBT) and MNS, are predicted to obtain only a few seats—three and two, respectively.

Assessing Opposition Weakness

The forecasts imply a marked decline for the Shiv Sena (UBT) and MNS, particularly when juxtaposed against the BJP-Shiv Sena coalition. Experts suggest that this trend can be attributed to a combination of targeted campaigns, effective messaging, and the coalition’s strategic alignment, which has resonated with constituents in this election.

Political analyst Rajesh Patil commented on this development, stating, “The BJP’s grassroots mobilization efforts have significantly outperformed expectations, particularly in urban settings like Mumbai. The failure of the opposition to unite effectively has compounded their challenges during this election cycle.”

Voter Sentiment and Allegations

The elections have not been without controversy, with allegations of ink fraud among claims of electoral malpractice being raised. The State Election Commission has dismissed these allegations, reaffirming the integrity of the voting process. Despite these assurances, the accusations have cast a shadow over the electoral outcome.

Voter sentiment appears closely tied to local issues, including infrastructure development and public service delivery, which have been focal points of the campaigning by the BJP and Shiv Sena alliance.

The Importance of the BMC Elections

The BMC is one of the richest municipal corporations in India, overseeing a vast budget that impacts millions of residents. Hence, the electoral stakes are high for all parties involved, and control over the BMC translates into significant political clout within the state of Maharashtra. Each party’s performance will not only influence local governance but will set the stage for broader political contests in the future.

In light of these elections, the BJP’s potential success in Mumbai could signal a shift in the political landscape of Maharashtra, impacting legislative dynamics as well as the coalition strategies pursued by various parties moving forward.

Conclusion and Next Steps

As the dust settles on this eventful electoral exercise, the implications for local governance and political strategy will warrant close scrutiny. With official results set to be declared soon, proponents and critics alike will analyze the impacts of the BJP-Shiv Sena alliance’s expected victory on the political fabric of Mumbai and beyond.

Officials and political analysts are already gearing up for the next steps, which include the formation of the new municipal council and critical discussions surrounding policy priorities that will emerge from the newly elected body.

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