Budget 2026: Examining the Future of Income Tax Regimes in India

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January 13, 2026

Finance Minister to Present Union Budget 2026

Finance Minister Nirmala Sitharaman is set to unveil the Union Budget 2026 on February 1, 2026. With numerous taxpayers eagerly anticipating potential changes, one key focus area is the ongoing discussion regarding the old and new income tax regimes in India.

Tax experts have been pondering whether the government will soon phase out the old income tax regime, sparking significant interest among taxpayers, particularly salaried individuals. This discussion has gained momentum as the government leans towards simplifying the tax filing process.

Understanding the Income Tax Regimes

The old and new income tax regimes are fundamentally different, primarily in their approach to deductions and exemptions. The new regime features lower tax rates on higher incomes with fewer available deductions. For instance, under the new regime, the basic exemption limit reaches higher thresholds, and with the Section 87A rebate, individuals earning up to ₹12.75 lakh can pay no tax.

This can be particularly advantageous for those earning ₹1 lakh per month, who would find themselves wholly exempt from tax. Conversely, the old regime offers various exemptions and deductions that are important for many taxpayers. Common benefits include deductions under Section 80C for investment in instruments such as Provident Fund and PPF, as well as exemptions for medical insurance contributions and house rent allowances.

Rationale Behind the New Tax Regime

The government’s motive for introducing the new income tax regime was to simplify tax compliance and reduce paperwork. In 2020, Finance Minister Nirmala Sitharaman stated that the existing Income Tax Act was burdened with numerous exemptions and deductions, making it difficult for taxpayers to navigate without professional assistance. Therefore, the administration has pushed towards a framework that lessens the need for extensive documentation.

As tax expert Parizad Sirwalla from KPMG notes, there was always an intention to phase out the multitude of exemptions. Over time, the government has made the new tax regime increasingly attractive by enhancing its features, which has led to higher acceptance among taxpayers.

Shifts in Taxpayer Preferences

Growing Popularity of the New Regime

Recent surveys indicate that around 72% of taxpayers opted for the new income tax regime for the assessment year 2024-25. With the continued adjustments made to enhance its appeal, this percentage is expected to rise even further in the fiscal year 2025-26.

At the same time, tax partners like Surabhi Marwah from EY India express that if the government moves to phase out the old regime, it will likely be a gradual process to allow time for taxpayers to adapt.

Current Benefits of the Old Regime

Despite the advantages of the new system, the old income tax regime still holds value, particularly for taxpayers claiming substantial deductions like HRA and home loan interest. Preeti Sharma from BDO India remarked that the government has indicated a strong preference for the new regime while assuring the continuity of the old system. However, eliminating the latter immediately seems unlikely.

Tanu Gupta of Mainstay Tax Advisors LLP suggests keeping both regimes could lead to confusion. She argues that maintaining two systems might ultimately contradict the intended aim of simplifying tax filing procedures.

Impact on Financial Behavior

The lingering presence of the old tax regime can signal important support for long-term savings. According to financial advisor Akhil Chandna, the government recognizes the importance of providing flexibility and ensuring long-term financial commitments remain attractive to taxpayers.

Nevertheless, the expectation of gradual stagnation of the old tax regime is evident, given its lack of updates and the growing attractiveness of the new regime. Radhika Viswanathan from Deloitte India noted that the emphasis is shifting towards making the new structure more appealing for a broader audience.

Anticipated Changes in Budget 2026

As February approaches, speculation surrounds the potential changes in the forthcoming budget. The government has progressively nudged taxpayers towards the new regime through various amendments and enhancements. Observers await explicit revelations that may further clarify the future course regarding these income tax structures.

While some experts advocate for the complete elimination of the old regime to reduce complexity, others underscore the importance of maintaining tax benefits tied to key investments. The following months leading up to Budget 2026 could see growing discussions about balancing the advantages of both regimes while exploring a smooth transition for taxpayers.

Public Sentiment and Expert Opinions

Feedback from the tax community reveals a mixture of anticipation and concern. Many professionals argue that the ongoing dialogue about phasing out the old system stems not only from a desire for simplicity but also from a need to secure taxpayer interests. The question of maintaining choice remains significant among the general public.

For many individuals, particularly those yet to engage deeply with financial planning, retaining the option of an older, more familiar tax regime can be comforting. Experts propose that any decision to eliminate the old system should be supported by adequate public awareness campaigns and educational resources.

Conclusion

As Budget 2026 draws near, the fate of the old income tax regime stands at a crossroads. Factors influencing its relevance encompass taxpayer sentiment, market behavior, and the government’s broader economic strategies. Without a doubt, taxpayers will remain vigilant about potential updates that could reshape their financial landscapes.

With an expected phased transition, many are hopeful for a system that not only simplifies tax compliance but also serves the financial aspirations of a diverse citizenry. The next few weeks will provide further insights into the government’s strategy regarding income tax, which continues to play a crucial role in the lives of millions of Indians.

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